Based on the academic economic circle and study of the early warning system for finanial crisis

a sort of system analysis approach

namely analytical hierarchy process (AHP)

is introduced in the paper to arrange the warning indices in accordance with their magnitude in forecasting latent financial crisis so as to determine every index

warning effectiveness and offer the financial supervisory authorities some constructive advice in policy decision in view of the prevention of financial crisis. And meanwhile

preliminary real case studies on the rationality of the arrangement is made in conjunction with the outreak of serious financial crises during the late over twenty years.